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Prediction Contest Week 1

Moderator:  Voobly

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Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  prv_limb » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:12 pm

We will kick off The War is Coming prediction contest with an Awakening special, which started today with a couple of exiting players and match-ups to come.

Update
(usa) Praxes (vs) (uk) KGB_Hecto12 ended (17:15 GMT)
(usa) L_Clan_True_ (vs) (brazil) RiuT started (18:10 GMT)
(greece) _Jidba (vs) (canada) ChriSt started (18:45 GMT)
(turkey) Interdimension (vs) (norway) TheViper started (19:10 GMT)

Bets:
1. How many games will the winner lose during the tournament?
  1. 0-2 Games 3.50 (-250)
  2. 3-4 Games 2.50 (-840)
  3. 5+ Games 3.50 (+625)
2. Who will reach Top 6?: Since all matches for the top 6 have started no bets can be placed anymore.
(greece) _Jidba - 1.10 (+0)
(usa) L_Clan_True_ - 1.12 (+0)
(usa) Praxes - 1.20 (+0)
(uk) KGB_Hecto12 - 1.25 (+0)

(turkey) Interdimension - 1.40 (-0)
(norway) TheViper - 1.60 (+348)
(brazil) RiuT - 1.80 (+160)

(peru) VNS_Tempo - 2.00 (-0)
(canada) ChriSt - 2.25 (-100)
(finland) Rubenstock - 2.60 (-0)
(usa) L3af - 3.25 (-150)
(germany) Aantan - 6.00 (-50)

For this bet "Best odds guaranteed" is active, because the odds may chance, but it will always be in your favor.

3. Who will win The Awakening?:
For this bet we introduce a new feature called "Each Way". Each Way or EW for short means that you place 2 bets, a win bet and a place bet. For the win part of the bet to give a return, the selection must win, or finish first, in the event. For the place part of the bet to give a return, the selection must either win or finish in one of the predetermined 'places' for the event, such as in first "place" or second "place". The odds paid on the place part of the bet are usually a fraction (commonly 1⁄2, 1⁄3, 1⁄4 or 1⁄5) of the win odds.

For example:
50 gold each-way on a player 'to win the event' at 6.0 and 1⁄3 the odds a place 1 or 2 would cost 100 gold.

  • Returns for the win part of the bet would be (50 × 6.0) = 300
  • Returns for the place part of the bet would be (50 × (5/3x1) + 50) = 133
  • If the player 'won the event' the total returns would be 300 + 133 = 433 and if the player was beaten in the final the returns would be 100.
  • If the player does not reach the final the wager would be lost.
So if you place an EW 50 on Christ and he finishes third, you will get 50 x (11/3x1) + 50 = 233 in return for a stake of 100.
The way to calculate this: stake x (odd-1 / EW term) + stake; or check http://www.free-bet-calculator.co.uk/

In this winner bet the EW terms will be 3 places with 1/3 odds.

(greece) _Jidba - 2.50 (+415)
(usa) L_Clan_True_ - 2.50 (-175)
(usa) Praxes - 4.50 (-100)
(uk) KGB_Hecto12 - 5.00 (-0)
(turkey) Interdimension - 6.00 (-0)
(norway) TheViper - 6.50 (+120)
(brazil) RiuT - 10.00 (-330)
(peru) VNS_Tempo - 12.00 (-0)
(canada) ChriSt - 12.00 (-0)
Anyone else - 18.00 (-0)


The way to participate is to comment below with you predictions, remember your starting gold is 500, with a bet limit of 100 gold per bet. For a EW bet the limit is 50 gold, e.g.
Code: Select all
Bet 1a - 20 gold
Top 6: Aantan - 50 gold
Winner: RiuT - 50 gold

The bets as stated above will result in a stake of 120 gold, if you want to bet an EW, you'll have to type it after your stake, like this: "Winner: RiuT - 50 gold EW", which will result in a stake of 170 gold.

The deadline to enter your bets will be tomorrow Sunday February 1st before the first game starts (14:00 GMT).
Last edited by  prv_limb on Tue Feb 17, 2015 10:21 pm, edited 19 times in total.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  Poy323 » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:13 pm

Bet 1a - 50 gold
Top 6: RiuT - 50 gold
Winner: Kellan/knowledge - 50 gold EW
Last edited by  Poy323 on Sat Jan 31, 2015 7:40 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  prv_limb » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:15 pm

  31 Jan 2015, 15:13 GMT » Poy323 wrote:
Bet 1a - 50 gold
Top 8: RiuT - 50 gold
Winner: Kellan/knowledge - 50 gold EW


We went from a top 8 to a top 6. If you want to change your bet, you may.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  rmcoo » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:17 pm

Bet 1a - 50 gold
Top 6: L3af - 100 gold
Winner: - L_Clan_True 50 gold EW
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Your mom was a ****e

[NHN]Keepo_____ says:
Ask her


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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  Hermes_Arg » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:35 pm

Bet 1a - 50 gold
Top 6: L3af - 50 gold
Winner: - Praxes 50 gold EW
Last edited by  Hermes_Arg on Sat Jan 31, 2015 6:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  nimanoe » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:40 pm

  31 Jan 2015, 15:35 GMT » Hermes_Arg wrote:
Bet 1a - 50 gold
Top 6: L3af - 110 gold
Winner: - Praxes 100 gold EW

You can only spend 100 gold on one bet to avoid people losing all their gold in just a few bets.
And there's a maximum of 50 gold for the EW question
Last edited by  nimanoe on Sat Jan 31, 2015 6:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  aocfun » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:44 pm

Bet 1c - 50 gold
Top 8: RiuT - 50 gold
Winner: Kellan/knowledge - 50 gold EW
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  Ator » Sat Jan 31, 2015 4:49 pm

Bet 1c - 50 gold
Top 6: TheViper - 100 gold
Winner: - L_Clan_True 50 gold EW
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  Millo » Sat Jan 31, 2015 5:13 pm

Bet 1c- 50 gold
Top 6:Aantan 50 gold
Winner: TheViper 50 Gold EW

i edited the EW.
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Re: Prediction Contest Week 1

Postby  Fall » Sat Jan 31, 2015 5:22 pm

Top 6: TheViper - 100 gold
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