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WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Moderator:  Voobly

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WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  prv_limb » Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:21 pm


Now that “War is Coming” has ended after 4 months and 20 days of amazing games and streams, the Prediction Contest has come to an end as well. The contest started on January 31st and lasted for almost 2 months. The first bets were for “The Awaking”, a 1v1 DM special, all matches after that tournament were covered with the possibility to stake gold on them to win the contest.

A big thank you

First of all we would like to thank the TyRanT sponsor to sponsor this event, not only War is Coming, but also the Prediction Contest. TyRanT was generous enough to grand us a prize pool of $1,000.

Second we would like to thank the tournament admins, streamers and players for organizing the tournament and providing us with enjoyable stream and countless of hours of recs and fun.

Third we would like to thank all participants for entering and participating in this event and for your patience and understanding during the contest.

Lastly I would like to thank the staff that helped us provide the best bets and odds. The staff members who helped a lot are:
  • (germany) Tsu_NilPferD, Nilpferd was extremely helpful with the DM bets we did, he did most of the DM bets himself. The odds were almost all his. Plus he did his best to provide the best possible odds imaginable.
  • (germany) arma, arma suggested to do this bet during week 6 (part 1 of the Grand Finals): “Game 5: WiC_Regicide_Fortress_v2 will we see a regicide (while player still alive)?” We chose not do this, because it is extremely unlikely. Who would have known it would actually happen. :lol: arma also helped to provide the best possible odds imaginable.
  • (argentina) Juan_, Juan provided his professional opinion about the bets and added some of them as well, like “Will a 1v1 Rooster match end before minute 23?” Juan helped with a odds as well.
The last member I would like to thank is the one person who helped me the most and is my partner during the whole contest. This person is (netherlands) nimanoe, nimanoe supported me throughout the whole contest. He did not only help provide bets and odds, but helped me with the administrative work as well. He verified all bets the participants placed in the module, so the outcome would be correct and to make sure we did not make a mistake. I exchanged a lot of ideas with nimanoe, we tried to come up with ways to make the contest run as smooth as possible when teams postponed or played at a time that was not really convenient for us. On top of that we discussed the progress and what we were going to do next. So a very big thanks to nimanoe.


Congratulations to all participants and to the top 6 in particular. (italy) Millo won the contest with 4863 gold and with it $500 provided by the TyRanT sponsor. The other prize winners are (_blank) Tr1S, (poland) PL_Kymu, (usa) eskimo, (_blank) Stryker and
(india) scandisk who won $250, $100, $75, $50 and $25 respectively.

Some stats

We have posted 78 bets in total:
  • Week 1: 3 bets
  • Week 2: 10 bets
  • Week 3: 8 bets
  • Week 4: 8 bets
  • Week 5: 6 bets
  • Week 6: 21 bets
  • Week 7: 15 bets
  • Week 8: 7 bets
Highest gain on a single bet:
The highest gain on a single bet was Week 8: bet 6 with 10,958 gold. 2,435 gold staked with odds of 5.50.
  13 Mar 2015, 19:17 GMT » prv_limb wrote:
6. TyRanT Legends (vs) TyRanT Warlords: Game 7: WiC_Coastal, who will get water control at the end of the game? (Defined as having 10 or more War Ships more than the other team)
  1. TyRanT Legends (2.4) (-150)
  2. TyRanT Warlords (2.6) (-0)
  3. Undecided (less than 10 ships difference between the teams) (5.5) (+10958)

Highest loss on a single bet:
The highest loss on a single bet was Week 2: bet 4 with – 3,230 gold. 3,230 gold staked with odds of 1.50 for KGB to win versus poZ.
  03 Feb 2015, 19:25 GMT » prv_limb wrote:
4. (Closed) KGB (vs) Poison of Zone: who will win?
  1. KGB (1.5) (-3230)
  2. Poison of Zone (3.0) (+640)

  • There were 83 participants in total.
  • Only 4 players busted, ended with 0 gold left.
  • Highest amount of participants in a week: 64 (week 2)
  • Lowest amount of participants in a week: 20 (week 5)
  • 5 different number 1s ( (_blank) Tr1S (3), (usa) eskimo (2), (italy) Millo (2), (spain) Ator (1) and (china) USC_kiky (1)
  • 5 participants who played every week ( (india) Carlos Ferdinand, (usa) eskimo, (italy) Millo, (_blank) Poy323 and
    (germany) Tsu_NilPferD)
  • Average entries per contestant: 3,7 entries
  • 32 different nations represented
  • Most represented country: (germany) Germany 10 participants (12%)
  • Most represented continent: (eu) Europe 41 participants (49%)
Final words

We hope all participants had fun while competing for the top 6. We had fun organizing this contest, not everything went as planned and in hindsight things could have gone better. If you have any suggestions for future prediction contests you can go here (viewtopic.php?f=1002&t=109027) and leave a comment. You can use that topic to submit what your opinions were about the contest, things that went well and thing that could have gone/be done better. This will help us in future with other prediction contests if we happen to run another one.
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  nimanoe » Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:26 pm

I would like to thank prv_limb for his work, he did a great job imo and i loved to "work" with him.
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  MaSmOrRa » Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:44 pm

Awesome job people! Thank you!
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  coLtApxthy » Wed Mar 25, 2015 10:48 pm

this was like the whole tournament just great.
<saymyname> eating chicken make me chicken too
<jugband@SpectatorChat> i wish to be nicovs horse, i want nicov to ride me
[_SY_]fengxin: me old no like 1v1
[_SY_]fengxin: friend call me play no play kill me
<[_SY_]fengxin> i no sleep is die
00:01:17 [_SY_]4396: ur mama exploded
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  Tr1S » Wed Mar 25, 2015 11:08 pm

Great competition guys, big thanks!
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  _Taff » Wed Mar 25, 2015 11:14 pm

Really well done guy's.

To step up and run this for your first time,and for it to go so smoothly.

Excellent :) gj all
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  Ator » Wed Mar 25, 2015 11:30 pm

Really good job !!! It was fun. Sad i went out of the prizes in the last round T_T, but Loved it !! :D
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  Black Adder » Wed Mar 25, 2015 11:35 pm

Thanks for organising, gj :)
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  JuanNNN » Wed Mar 25, 2015 11:55 pm

thanks a lot for such a great event, happy to be useful on that :).
[11:46]<_8th_wonder_> go stone wall vs each other
[11:46]<_8th_wonder_> and die
[11:46]<_8th_wonder_> noobs
[11:46]<_8th_wonder_ has left the game room>
[11:46]<[_SY_]Yo__> 11
[11:46]<[_SY_]Yo__> 11
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Re: WiC Prediction Contest: Overview

Postby  pedro » Thu Mar 26, 2015 2:43 am

thx for this event! was great fun! and nice bets + odds ... too bad i busted 11
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